HHS banned Claude in March. Its October fix is a no-bid Anthropic award after a $1-a-year run

A notice filed October 19 would keep the Department of Health and Human Services on Anthropic's Claude without competition, past the October 31 expiry of a $1-a-year government deal and seven months after President Trump ordered the model phased out of agencies. The price is undisclosed; the company may file IPO papers within days.

Vincent JiangVincent Jiang · 3 min read
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Dario Amodei, co-founder and chief executive of Anthropic, in a navy blazer and glasses against a brown backdrop
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Dario Amodei, co-founder and chief executive of Anthropic, which won a no-bid HHS award seven months after a presidential phase-out order.

A no-bid award, seven months after a ban

On October 19 the Department of Health and Human Services posted a notice on SAM.gov, the federal contracting site: a sole-source award to Anthropic$350B — Anthropic, private, latest valuation $350B, maker of the Claude AI models, to keep the department's workforce on the tools without open competition, with no contract value or award date listed 1.

The justification is continuity itself: "Claude is Anthropic's proprietary model family, and the requirement is continuity of the existing Claude deployment already," the notice says 2. Under its terms, HHS data is excluded from model training by default, stays in the continental United States, and Anthropic must report security incidents within one hour 1.

From $1 a year to a phase-out, and back

HHS rolled Claude out department-wide in December 2025, after Anthropic offered agencies the service for $1 a year under the General Services Administration's OneGov program 12.

March brought the reversal: talks over military use collapsed, the Pentagon designated Anthropic a supply chain risk, President Donald Trump ordered agencies to phase the company out, and HHS told employees to stop using Claude while the FDA moved its Elsa chatbot to Google's Gemini 123.

A federal appeals court upheld the Pentagon label 2-1 on September 25, and Anthropic asked the full court on October 13 to reconsider 34. The new notice never mentions the ban 1. Anthropic, for its part, made Claude for Government generally available this month and hired a federal civilian sales chief on October 21 5.

The dependency admission, and its lobbying bill

Jessica Tillipman, associate dean for government procurement law studies at George Washington University, told FedScoop the notice "appears to be an admission that the agency is dependent on Claude," and that general chatbot services are a questionable basis for skipping competition: "this is going to be a pain, so let's just keep it going" 2. The $1 offer did what free samples are built to do 6. The same quarter set Anthropic's lobbying record at $2.1 million, roughly double its previous best, and still behind Nvidia's−0.19% — Nvidia, down 0.19 percent today $2.2 million and Apple's−0.45% — Apple, down 0.45 percent today $3.1 million 6.

Anthropic doubled its lobbying record in Q3 and still trailed Nvidia and Apple

$0M$1M$2M$3M$4MApple$3.1MNvidia$2.2MAnthropic$2.1MFirst quarter above $2MOpenAI$1.5M
Data
Value
Apple$3.1M
Nvidia$2.2M
Anthropic$2.1M
OpenAI$1.5M
Federal lobbying disclosures for July to September 2026, in millions of US dollars, as compiled by The Verge.6

Pay real money or migrate, days before the prospectus

OneGov expires October 31, so HHS now pays a real, undisclosed price or migrates; OpenAI$1.18T — OpenAI, private, latest valuation $1.18T has already swapped its own $1 deal for consumption pricing through 2028 7. The money runs from taxpayers to a private company that could file IPO papers as early as Friday, toward a listing discussed at a $2 trillion valuation, on first-half 2026 revenue of $16.3 billion and a net loss above $80 billion 8.

The Inference reported in September that Anthropic was betting enterprises would not blink at the invoice; HHS has now filed that bet in its own name. Three readings settle it: the award value when it posts, whether the competitive frontier-model contract actually opens, and the court's answer on reconsideration.

What happens next

Anthropic

Whether HHS pays a real, undisclosed price to keep Claude or migrates to another model

The case for

A cabinet department has conceded in a federal filing that it cannot easily rip out Claude, converting the $1 teaser into a real paid enterprise contract days before a possible IPO filing.

The case against

The award price is undisclosed, the Pentagon supply chain risk label stands after a 2-1 appeals ruling, and FedScoop reports a broader frontier-model competition could still follow.

  1. Sat Oct 31OneGov $1-a-year deal for Claude expires.

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