Zoom opened its speech AI to rivals and wired in Meta's Muse; the market still pays 8.4 times earnings

The CTO opened Zoom's Scribe speech API to the note-taking startups it competes with and wired meetings into Meta's Muse, the agent Amazon blocked. The earnings say AI is a business; the opened layers are the gamble.

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Vincent JiangVincent Jiang · 2 min read
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Zoom founder Eric Yuan speaking with a microphone at The Grove event in 2021, wearing a Zoom badge
1 / 6Slide 1 of 6
Zoom founder Eric Yuan. His company opened its Scribe speech layer to rivals and wired meetings into Meta's Muse, while the market still prices it at 8.4 times earnings.

Zoom spent the week of October 5 handing away the two layers its AI story rests on. Zoom wired its meeting intelligence into Meta's Muse, the consumer shopping agent Amazon blocked from its site rather than let an outside agent learn its customers 25. The next day, chief technology officer XD Huang told TNW that the speech recognition behind My Notes, Zoom's flagship meeting-notes tool, is now open to anyone as the Scribe API, and that AI note-taking startups, the companies built on Zoom calls, are in talks to switch to it 1.

The layer below the product is free

Huang frames the shift as "C2C", conversation to completion 1. "2026 would be the year of completion," he said 1. Scribe has topped the Open ASR Leaderboard of more than 60 speech systems since its first version 1. That is a genuine asset being commoditized. Amazon kept Muse out at any cost; Venn launched "super agents" on October 6 on the explicit pitch that real estate should refuse outside agents entirely 5. Zoom chose the open door, and opened the seat itself to an agent layer that could replace it.

The other answer: charge inside the seat

Zoom's own earnings say its AI is a business, not a giveaway. Every one of its top 10 fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 deals included paid AI features, seven were competitive displacements of rival contact-center vendors, and one major US retailer signed a near-seven-figure-ARR deal for Zoom Virtual Agent across more than 1,100 stores 3. Fiscal 2026 revenue reached $4.869 billion, up 4.4% 3. Enterprise revenue grew 7.8% year over year in fiscal Q2 2027 and is 62% of the total 4.

Enterprise growth at 7.8% is pulling against a 3.9% company guide

  • Total revenue
  • Enterprise
  • Estimate
02468FQ2'27FQ3'27 guide4.9
Data
Total revenueEnterprise
FQ2'274.97.8
FQ3'27 guide (estimate)3.9—
Year-over-year revenue growth by fiscal quarter, percent. FQ2 2027 delivered figures and FQ3 2027 guidance from Trefis; Enterprise FQ2 growth from Trefis. Guidance marked as estimated.4

Why the market shrugs

The market still pays 8.4 times earnings against 21.5 for the median S&P 500 company, and the multiple is flattered: $3.3 billion of trailing net income against only $1.2 billion of operating income, so most of the profit making Zoom look cheap did not come from operations 4.

Net income has outrun operating income twelve quarters running, and hit $1.5B last quarter

  • Operating income
  • Net income
00.511.52Q4 '23Q2 '24Q4 '24Q2 '25Q4 '25Q2 '260.311.54
Data
Operating incomeNet income
Q3 '230.170.14
Q4 '230.170.3
Q1 '240.20.22
Q2 '240.20.22
Q3 '240.180.21
Q4 '240.230.37
Q1 '250.240.26
Q2 '250.320.36
Q3 '250.310.61
Q4 '250.250.67
Q1 '260.310.43
Q2 '260.311.54
Zoom quarterly operating income and net income, US$ billions, fiscal quarters ending October 2023 through July 2026, from SEC filings. The gap shows most of the profit that flatters the price-earnings multiple did not come from operations.6

Against that sits $7.2 billion of cash and securities on a $27.2 billion market value, and a $1.6 billion buyback last fiscal year 4. But management guided fiscal Q3 2027 growth to 3.9% at the midpoint, below the 4.9% delivered in fiscal Q2 4.

The bet a buyer makes here is that the opened layers turn into tolls. At the next print, two signals decide it: whether opened-layer usage converts into paid SKUs, and whether fiscal Q3 lands above the 3.9% guide.

Deepdive

AI-generated from this story and its cited sources. Not investment advice.

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