GlobalWafers raised $1.43 billion for a shortage its own accounts do not show

The world's third-largest wafer maker sold $1.43 billion of stock to buy raw silicon, with orders about four times covered, weeks after Micron paid up to $500 million for ten years of Texas wafer output. The second-quarter income statement still points the other way.

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Vincent JiangVincent Jiang · 3 min read
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A 12-inch silicon wafer covered in processed dies, iridescent under light
A 12-inch silicon wafer, the 300mm format GlobalWafers makes in Sherman, Texas and sells under long-term agreements now being renegotiated for 2027.

A wafer maker sells stock to buy feedstock

GlobalWafers, the world's third-largest silicon wafer maker, priced the biggest equity sale in its history on 22 September: 50 million global depositary receipts at $28.64 each, $1.43 billion in total 12. Orders ran to roughly four times the offering's value 3. The proceeds go first toward raw material purchases 1. Suppliers rarely sell stock to buy feedstock; they do it when they expect the feedstock to get scarcer and dearer, and GlobalWafers says its 12-inch lines are fully committed across every site 1.

Micron pays twice for the same silicon

The customer is already paying. In July, Micron committed up to $500 million to GlobalWafers' 300mm plant in Sherman, Texas, tied to a 10-year supply agreement, inside a $3 billion input-materials program 45. Wedbush read the deal as Micron treating raw wafers, not finished memory, as the next chokepoint, with demand climbing into the 2028-2030 window 4. Chairwoman Doris Hsu calls Sherman the sole US source of advanced 300mm wafers 4. Micron has since lifted its US investment plan above $250 billion through 2035 5.

The income statement disagrees

None of it is in the numbers yet. Second-quarter revenue fell 5% year over year to NT$15.2 billion, and gross margin dropped 5.2 points to 20.6% as depreciation from a three-year expansion landed 1. The near-doubling of EPS to NT$7.9 came from a mark-to-market gain on the company's Siltronic stake, not operations 1. The first quarter looked the same: NT$13.98 billion of revenue at a 20.8% margin 8.

Prices have already started moving

The 12-inch price path the raise rides on: $92 to $166 by 2028

  • 12-inch wafer ASP
  • Estimate
$80$100$120$140$160$180202620272028$122$166$92Micron's flagged pinch window
Data
12-inch wafer ASP
2026$92
2027 (estimate)$122
2028 (estimate)$166
Projected average selling price per 12-inch silicon wafer at GlobalWafers; Commercial Times estimates via TrendForce News, 25 September 2026. The 2027 and 2028 figures are projections.6

In August, Taiwan's three biggest wafer makers lifted prices at least 10% across every commercial wafer size, the first synchronized move in more than three years, with capacity near full use 7. Talks for 2027 point higher: 15-25% on epitaxial wafers, more than 40% on polished wafers, and over 50% for some second-tier customers 6.

The 2027 asks open at 15%, 40% and 50% by wafer grade

01020304050Epitaxial wafers15–25%Polished wafers40%+Second-tier customers50%+
Data
Value
Epitaxial wafers15–25%
Polished wafers40%+
Second-tier customers50%+
Projected 2027 contract price increase asks; bars plot the low ends of the reported ranges, shown in the labels, with some second-tier asks above 50%. Commercial Times estimates via TrendForce News, 25 September 2026.6

Not everyone pays the scarcity price

Morgan Stanley cut the stock to Equalweight at NT$750 in May 2. It closed at NT$948 on 24 September, under the Street's NT$1,039 average target and roughly 40% below its 2026 peak 12. SUMCO's president reads the same tightness differently: hikes of 5-10% fall far short of covering costs, and no greenfield expansion is coming 6.

30 September is the first test

Micron reports fiscal fourth-quarter results on 30 September, guided to about $50 billion of revenue, the next reading on the memory famine traced in these pages on 19 September 9. Two numbers decide this trade: how far GlobalWafers pushes 12-inch prices this half 1, and where 2027 contracts settle against those 40% asks 6. The famine is a forecast. The down payments are cash.

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