The Customers Walk; CATL's Suppliers Carry the Float

Li Auto, Xiaomi and XPeng are pulling battery volume out of CATL, which ended 2025 owing suppliers ¥263.6bn against the ¥121bn its customers owed it. Its answer to the defections is a 100 GWh plant in Hungary.

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Vincent JiangVincent Jiang · 3 min read
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A CATL EV battery pack on display at the IAA motor show in Hanover
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A CATL battery pack at the IAA show in Hanover: when one supplier's battery runs to roughly 40% of a car's bill of materials, the car company is a wage earner, which is the toll Li Auto, Xiaomi and XPeng are revolting against.

3 p.m. on 7 September: Li Auto stops buying the MEGA's cell from CATL

Orders for the new-generation MEGA locked after 3 p.m. that day no longer get CATL's 5C cell.12 They get a cell whose anode, cathode and electrolyte Li Auto defined itself, with Sunwoda and CALB running the machines.1 The i9 Home followed on 17 September, and in-house cells were already in mass production on the L8, L6 and i8.12

A black Li Auto L8 SUV parked on a street in Shanghai
A Li Auto L8 in Shanghai: in-house cells were already in mass production on the L8, L6 and i8 before the new-generation MEGA stopped taking CATL's 5C cell. · JustAnotherCarDesigner (Wikimedia Commons)

CATL's market value fell 3.65% the next day.1 Xiaomi put CALB and Sunwoda on exclusive lines for its Dragon Armor battery and left CATL off the Pengcheng N70 and N90 supplier lists, and XPeng's He Xiaopeng says his company will develop "all batteries" itself, cells excepted.1 Li Auto president Ma Donghui has gone furthest: every product after 2026 carries Li Auto-defined cells.3

XPeng chairman He Xiaopeng speaking on stage at a company event
XPeng chairman He Xiaopeng, who says his company will develop all batteries itself, cells excepted. · Aaronlewis3207 (Wikimedia Commons)

The customers leave, the suppliers keep carrying the float

Supply-chain surveys put CATL near 70% of Li Auto's battery supply before the switch, falling toward 50% for 2026.1 Sunwoda and CALB take the defecting volume, and Sunwoda takes more: ¥2.65bn of Li Auto capital for 8.79% of its EV-battery unit, 11.17% counting affiliates.4 CATL's own suppliers get vouchers they can discount for cash, and a payment date.1

CATL's ledger is the part nobody prices. At end-2025 it owed suppliers ¥263.6bn against the ¥121bn customers owed it, a 2.18x gap that widened to 2.52x by H1 2026, with ¥57.8bn of payables sitting in supplier-financing vouchers, per a 36kr teardown of its books.1

CATL owed suppliers ¥263.6bn at end-2025; customers owed it ¥121bn

¥0B¥100B¥200B¥300BOwed to suppliers, end-2025¥263.6B2.18x receivables, 2.52x by H1 2026Owed by customers, end-2025¥121BSupplier-financed payables, H1 2026¥57.8B
Data
Value
Owed to suppliers, end-2025¥263.6B
Owed by customers, end-2025¥121B
Supplier-financed payables, H1 2026¥57.8B
Accounts plus notes payable vs accounts plus notes receivable at end-2025, billions of yuan; the third bar is H1 2026 payables booked under supplier-financing arrangements. Source: 36kr reading of CATL's filings.1

The buyback does not touch the float

Alongside the float, CATL plans a ¥20-40bn buyback of its own A-shares, capped at ¥573 apiece, every repurchased share to be cancelled.5 Nothing in the filings traces the float to the buyback; what they show is who holds the exposure while both run.

CATL's defense: share and profit still climbing

Chief manufacturing officer Ni Jun's line at CATL's Global Quality Open Month: "Those who can make cars may not necessarily make batteries."1 The half-year numbers carry some of it: 46.7% of China's passenger-car installs, 75.2% of ternary, revenue up 54.8% at ¥276.9bn, net profit up 42% at ¥43.28bn.5 The stock closed 24 September just 0.2% above its 52-week low.6

The next 100 GWh rises a continent away from the defectors

Trial production began on 22 September at the first two Debrecen lines: 34 GWh in phase one, 100 GWh planned, CATL's largest site outside China once built out.78 The cells are spoken for: Mercedes plants in Germany and Hungary, and the BMW iX3 built a few kilometres away, from 2027.7 The carmakers taking volume out are Chinese; the replacement capacity is rising in Hungary, for German customers.7

The toll they are revolting against is size. When one supplier's battery runs to roughly 40% of a car's bill of materials, 36kr's reading is blunt: the car company is a wage earner.1 Watch the payables ratio in the annual report: a gap that keeps widening means CATL's defense is still financed by the people with the least say in it.

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