Economy

Visa's stablecoin settlement passes $25 billion a year, up tenfold

OpenAI's new agent wallet runs on Visa's cards with no crypto in it, while stablecoin issuers settle what they owe on Visa's own rail. Two separate books, one network collecting on both, and the rules for an agent's disputed purchase are still unwritten.

Vincent JiangVincent Jiangthree-minute read
Share
Visa chief executive Ryan McInerney, smiling in a dark suit jacket and light blue shirt against a white background
1 / 6Slide 1 of 6
Ryan McInerney, chief executive of Visa. Visa's stablecoin settlement business passed a $25 billion annualized run rate, ten times last year's pace, while its card network began carrying agent-initiated purchases too.

Agent payments went live on the card networks

On November 13, 2026 OpenAI switched on ChatGPT Wallet with American Express+0.24% — American Express, up 0.24 percent today, Mastercard+1.34% — Mastercard, up 1.34 percent today and Visa+1.13% — Visa, up 1.13 percent today: a card is entered once, each purchase needs a fingerprint or a face scan, and the agent never sees the card number 1. OpenAI$1.18T — OpenAI, private, latest valuation $1.18T says the wallet uses no blockchain and no stablecoin, only fiat rails 2.

The same day, Meta+2.23% — Meta, up 2.23 percent today and Sierra~$10B — Sierra, private, latest valuation ~$10B, the agent-software firm co-founded by former Salesforce−0.26% — Salesforce, down 0.26 percent today co-chief Bret Taylor, released Poppy, a protocol that lets an assistant prove which user it acts for at a merchant 2. The stake for Visa holders: the network collects on both rails, and the cost of an agent's mistake has no payer yet.

Two books, billed separately

After a card is tapped, money must move between the bank that issued the card and the bank serving the merchant. Visa's settlement program lets those issuers and acquirers settle in stablecoins over a blockchain instead of legacy rails 3. The book widened twice this week: the Monad blockchain joined as the tenth supported chain on November 10 3, and on November 12 Anchorage Digital, a federally chartered crypto bank, added Western Union's dollar token USDPT to settle what partners owe on VisaNet, Visa's card network 4.

The agent wallet earns the other book: each purchase runs as an ordinary card transaction, rewards and chargeback protections kept, so Visa collects the fee it already collects on cards 12. Mastercard sits on both launch lists too 2; what it did not show this quarter is a second book.

Settlement grew tenfold while cards grew 9 percent

On the October 27 call, chief executive Ryan McInerney put the settlement business above a $25 billion annualized run rate, ten times last year's pace, across five stablecoins on ten blockchains 5. The run rate was $7 billion when Visa added five chains in April 3.

The card book is larger and slower. More than 225 stablecoin-linked card programs are live, up more than 70 percent on the year, on roughly five million cards in more than 50 countries; transaction volume is up more than 150 percent 6. All payments volume grew 9 percent to $4.1 trillion in the quarter, on net revenue of $12.1 billion, up 13 percent 7.

Stablecoin card volume grew 150 percent; all payments volume 9 percent

The stablecoin book grows at triple digits; the card book at single digits

0%50%100%150%Stablecoin-linked card volume150%Settlement run rate grew 10x, past $25B annualizedStablecoin-linked card programs70%All payments volume9%
Data
Value
Stablecoin-linked card volume150%
Stablecoin-linked card programs70%
All payments volume9%
Year-over-year growth for Visa's fiscal fourth quarter, ended September 30, 2026. Settlement grew tenfold on a $25 billion annualized run rate, a different period basis, so it is noted here rather than plotted. Sources: Visa earnings call of October 27, 2026, via PYMNTS and Yahoo Finance; Zacks.5,6,7

Where an agent's mistake would land

For now the card networks keep the agent channel, and Amazon−1.16% — Amazon, down 1.16 percent today is the merchant refusing the risk: it has blocked Meta's Muse assistant from buying at all 8. The wallet preserves a cardholder's chargeback rights 2; banks have not said those rights cover a purchase the assistant chose and the human confirmed with a face scan 2. Visa booked a $474 million litigation provision last quarter, down from $903 million a year earlier 7. Agent disputes, if they come, land on that line.

What the January print decides

The banks are building their own coin regardless: 21 institutions, Goldman Sachs−0.23% — Goldman Sachs, down 0.23 percent today, Citigroup−0.45% — Citigroup, down 0.45 percent today and Bank of America+0.71% — Bank of America, up 0.71 percent today among them, have committed about $270 million to Project Faro, a dollar stablecoin targeted for the first half of 2027 9. McInerney framed the race himself: "It is clear that in agentic, trust is the biggest barrier to scale" 5. The January-quarter print shows which book grew.

Get Economy by email, free

How AI moves rates, banks, payments and the wider economy. In our daily email, every weekday.

Loading AXP

Reader comments

0 comments

    More in Economy

    All in this topic →

    Economy

    Index funds must buy Chime on Nov. 18 as DST Global's filings show $433 million of sales since Aug. 19

    Passive trackers must buy Chime at Wednesday's open because Black Hills is buying NorthWestern, not because anyone chose Chime. The same week, DST Global filed a 13G/A at 10.2 percent, and its funds have sold $433 million of the stock since August 19, sales that go dark below the 10 percent line.

    Economy

    Markets put a December Fed hike at 99% odds; Affirm's $259 million reserves and Chime's credit face the bill

    The hike lands on consumer lenders that just leaned into credit. Affirm reserved near $259 million against souring loans, Chime's losses are rising on first-time borrowers, and Cash App's primary banking base has stopped growing.

    Economy

    Block loses Afterpay co-founder Nick Molnar at year-end as lending losses rose 65.6% to $602 million

    The man who sold Afterpay to Block for $29 billion in stock at the top of the BNPL cycle steps away to focus on family, and his co-founder sold $8.9 million of XYZ the same month. The lending engine Block bought now grows on borrowed money while its banking base sits flat.

    Economy

    S&P sizes Emerson Electric's backlog $1.4 billion below its 10-K

    Emerson priced €750 million of 4.000% notes due 2032 on November 12, and the 'A' rating behind the deal sizes the order book at $8.2 billion, $1.4 billion below the 10-K the market screens on. Investors paying 23 times fiscal 2027 adjusted earnings have to decide which number is real.

    Economy

    Valor handed investors $8.5 billion of SpaceX stock without selling, its biggest win in 23 years

    The investor letter obtained by Bloomberg shows the first institutional backer of Tesla and SpaceX returned $8.5 billion of SpaceX stock to its partners in September, then started raising a $3.3 billion fund already buying SpaceX shares. Pre-IPO money built the register, and pre-IPO money is now supplying it.

    Economy

    Robinhood's event contracts more than doubled to 5.9 billion in October as crypto volume nearly halved

    The count grew while crypto halved, yet Robinhood keeps only the broker's cent of the two-cent fee on most prediction trades, because most of them still route through Kalshi, the exchange the CFTC has reportedly warned of charges. The take rate doubles only when Robinhood's own exchange takes the flow, promised for early 2027.

    Subscribe to TheInference for free