Ameren wants nine gas plants, coal until 2042, and $13 more a month

Ameren Missouri's 20-year plan leans on data-center demand to keep the Labadie coal plant running to 2042 and add nine gas plants, while the same regulators weigh its $343 million rate increase. In AEP's Ohio and Kentucky territory, the data center pays first, in collateral, exit fees and $100 million of bill credits.

Vincent JiangVincent Jiang · 4 min read
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An Ameren Missouri worker in a red hard hat watches a crane set a wrapped turbine component at the Castle Bluff gas plant site
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A turbine component is set at Ameren Missouri's Castle Bluff gas plant site in June 2026. The utility's updated 20-year plan grows the gas buildout to nine plants while keeping Labadie's coal units burning to 2042.

A piñata shaped like a coal plant

Patricia Schuba took a bat to a piñata modeled on the coal plant she lives beside on Saturday, candy dyed to look like coal spilling at the feet of more than 50 marchers outside Ameren+0.74% — Ameren, up 0.74 percent today Missouri's St. Louis headquarters 1. The plan that drew them keeps all four units of Labadie burning until 2042 instead of retiring two in 2036, and adds nine natural gas plants, up from two in the 2023 plan 17. Schuba says the plant has made her and her neighbors sick; Cindy McFarland, 27 years a Labadie resident, described coal dust in the gutters and a mask for yard work 2.

Demand is signed, so the build is real

Ameren's own numbers say the driver is data centers: 2.8 gigawatts of signed large-load agreements by 2030, 40 prospective centers in its territory, and a plan that quietly dropped the net-zero language of the 2020 and 2023 editions 67. The gas schedule alone runs 2,100 megawatts of combined-cycle capacity by 2031 and another 2,800 by 2035 69. Columbia, Missouri's whole grid peaks near 290 megawatts, and its substations are already close to capacity 3.

One campus can outrun a city grid: the megawatts behind the gas build

0MW5,000MW10,000MW15,000MW20,000MWColumbia, Mo. citywide peak290MWTeraWulf Muskie campus, Ky.1,000MWAmeren Mo. signed load by 20302,800MWAEP Ohio under 2025 tariff5,642MWAEP Ohio total through 203517,861MW
Data
Value
Columbia, Mo. citywide peak290MW
TeraWulf Muskie campus, Ky.1,000MW
Ameren Mo. signed load by 20302,800MW
AEP Ohio under 2025 tariff5,642MW
AEP Ohio total through 203517,861MW
Contracted or planned megawatts, not current consumption. Columbia is historical peak demand; Ameren is signed electric service agreements for 2030; AEP Ohio figures are binding contracts as of February 12, 2026, with collateral posted on the tariff tranche. Sources: ABC 17 News; cleveland.com; PR Newswire; Ameren release.3,4,5,6

The bill arrives before the plants

The Missouri Public Service Commission, which must approve the plan, is also weighing Ameren's June request for $343 million a year more, about 10 percent, roughly $13 a month on a typical residential bill and the third increase in five years 18. Ameren's testimony counts about $2.8 million of annual cost to serve large loads against $13.4 million of revenue from them, and Rob Dixon, Ameren's vice president of regulatory and legislative affairs, projects $21 million in customer savings over two years 78. State Representative Brad Christ has asked the commission to settle the cost question "before the plants are built, not after" 8. The spending has started regardless: capex outran operating cash flow in 10 of the past 12 quarters 10.

Ameren has outspent its operating cash flow in 10 of the past 12 quarters

  • Capital spending
  • Operating cash flow
$0B$0.5B$1B$1.5B$2BQ4 '23Q2 '24Q4 '24Q2 '25Q4 '25Q2 '26$1.08BCapex steps up as signed loadarrives
Data
Capital spendingOperating cash flow
Q3 '23$0.76B$0.92B
Q4 '23$1.14B$0.53B
Q1 '24$0.9B$0.49B
Q2 '24$1.03B$0.56B
Q3 '24$1.16B$0.9B
Q4 '24$1.32B$0.82B
Q1 '25$1.08B$0.43B
Q2 '25$1.07B$0.86B
Q3 '25$0.99B$1.1B
Q4 '25$1.04B$0.96B
Q1 '26$1.6B$0.42B
Q2 '26$1.08B$0.77B
Ameren Corporation (AEE), quarterly, US$ billions, from its SEC filings. The gap is carried on debt and equity until regulators decide who repays it. Source: Ameren SEC filings.10

Where the load pays first

Two states east the price list is public. AEP Ohio's tariff, in force since July 2025, covers data centers from 25 megawatts up, reclaims 100 percent of buildout costs on cancellation or a delay beyond 12 months, and sets an exit fee of 36 months of minimum charges; 5,642 megawatts sit under it with collateral posted, inside 17,861 megawatts contracted through 2035 4. In Kentucky, TeraWulf−2.21% — TeraWulf, down 2.21 percent today will pay the financing costs of a 760-megawatt gas plant and fund $100 million of winter bill credits, about $25 a month for a typical household from 2029 5. Missouri's safeguard is thinner on paper: a 75-megawatt threshold on the large-load tariff 3, plus Senate Bill 4, the utility law Governor Mike Kehoe signed in April 2025, which requires large new customers to cover the infrastructure built to serve them 8. Neither names a dollar figure.

AEP Ohio tariff (since July 2025)Kentucky Power and TeraWulf (2026)Missouri: SB4 and large-load tariff
Large-load threshold25 megawatts and upThe agreement covers the 1,000-megawatt Muskie campus75 megawatts
What the data center pays or postsCollateral on 5,642 megawatts; 100 percent of buildout costs on cancellation or delay beyond 12 months; exit fee of 36 months of minimum chargesFinancing costs of a 760-megawatt gas plantNo dollar figure named; SB4 requires large new customers to cover the infrastructure built to serve them
What other customers getCollateral and cost recovery if a campus cancels or delays$100 million of winter bill credits, about $25 a month for a typical household from 2029Ameren projects $21 million of customer savings over two years
What large loads pay or post, and what residents get back, under the AEP Ohio tariff, the Kentucky Power and TeraWulf agreement, and Missouri's Senate Bill 4 and large-load tariff, as described in the sources cited in this article.

Ameren's answer, and its gap

Chief Sustainability Officer Gwen Mizell frames running Labadie as "getting the full value from a vehicle you've already paid for," and chief growth officer Ajay Arora calls it one of the country's most affordable plants 127. Dixon says Senate Bill 4's safeguards ensure other customers do not bear data centers' costs 7. The gap is default: AEP+0.96% — AEP, up 0.96 percent today demands collateral because contracted campuses do not always open, and one campus can exceed a city's entire peak load 34.

Whether Missouri publishes dollar terms before the concrete pours

The Kentucky Public Service Commission takes the TeraWulf amendment this year, and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission is weighing who pays for transmission built for loads that never arrive, with responses from PJM, the regional grid operator, due November 16 45. The tell for Ameren (AEE) holders is whether Missouri publishes dollar terms before concrete pours 6. AEP's safeguards are published dollar amounts, collateral and exit fees written into contracts. Ameren's Missouri safeguard so far sets a 75-megawatt threshold and publishes no price 3.

Deepdive

AI-generated from this story and its cited sources. Not investment advice.

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