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Anthropic's Claude models tie at 58 on a coding index Cognition partly built, days before its Nasdaq IPO

A third of the refreshed index runs on FrontierCode, a benchmark built by Cognition, whose Devin agent announced one of the two tied winners, Claude Fable 5.2, on the day of its release. Anthropic's model lists on Nasdaq on November 19; Cognition's Devin has offers from $70 billion on the table.

Richard TangRichard Tangthree-minute read
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Dario Amodei, chief executive of Anthropic, stands in a lineup with Japan's prime minister Sanae Takaichi and four others at a courtesy call in Tokyo
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Dario Amodei, third from left, at a courtesy call with Japan's prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, in Tokyo on October 29, 2025. Anthropic's Claude models tie for first on the refreshed Coding Agent Index ahead of the company's Nasdaq listing on November 19.

The yardstick in coding agents now sits inside a seller's shop. On November 13, 2026, Artificial Analysis, an independent model-benchmarking service, refreshed its Coding Agent Index, and the top composite fell from 61.7 to 58, with Anthropic's$350B — Anthropic, private, latest valuation $350B Claude Fable 5.2 and Claude Opus 5.5 tied at first 1. A third of that score runs on FrontierCode, a task suite built by Cognition~$10B — Cognition, private, latest valuation ~$10B, the startup behind the Devin coding agent 1.

Cognition announced Fable 5.2 inside Devin Desktop and Devin CLI on November 9, the day Anthropic released it 12. Anthropic's model lists on Nasdaq this week 3; Cognition's Devin, the harness that runs it, has fielded offers that could close a round before the year ends 4.

The top score fell from 61.7 to 58 when the index changed its tests

  • Claude Opus 5.5
  • Claude Fable 5.2
020406080Index v2.0Index v2.1 (Nov 13)58Tie at the top, 3.7 points belowv2.0
Data
Claude Opus 5.5Claude Fable 5.2
Index v2.061.7—
Index v2.1 (Nov 13)5858
Composite scores on the Artificial Analysis Coding Agent Index, which scores model-and-harness pairs; version 2.1, released November 13, 2026, refreshed the benchmark suite. Reported figures, in index points.1

Cognition owns the harness and the grading, not the champion

The champion is Anthropic's. Fable 5.2 leads the new index and wins Cognition's own test: 49.1 on FrontierCode 2.0 at the highest reasoning setting 2. The index runs version 1.1 of that suite; the 49.1 was scored on version 2.0, a different edition of Cognition's own benchmark 12.

Cognition's own small model is the discount instrument. SWE-2 Flash, released on November 4 and sold inside Devin at a fifth of SWE-2's price, wins one of eight rows on Cognition's launch table (56; our earlier take). What Cognition holds is the harness, the scaffolding around a model where a task gets its price; Devin's invoice folds model, harness and serving into one bill 6. Devin's business is running someone else's frontier model cheaply, and grading the result.

A leadership claim depends on which version of the test ran

FrontierCode grades an agent's work on whether a repository maintainer would merge it, closer to how a team judges code than any correctness test 1. But Cognition builds and versions the suite, and Artificial Analysis chose to swap version 1.1 into this refresh 1. Opus 5.5 fell from 61.7 to 58 on an unchanged model and a changed test; that is what a new grader does to an old score 1.

The chain underneath is short. A frontier model writes mergeable code; the harness turns it into a task with a price; routine engineering work then moves off people's calendars. The first two links are priced this month; the third is projection.

Anthropic prices this week; Cognition's offers run to year-end

Anthropic begins trading on Nasdaq on November 19, 2026, at a valuation of up to about $1.4 trillion 3. That is below the range investors contemplated a few weeks ago; the halo around AI, in one investor's words, "isn't as formidable" as it was 7. At the top of the range the shares trade at roughly 17 times the $81 billion annualized run-rate in the filing 3.

Cognition's offers run at five times Anthropic's run-rate multiple

Cognition is set to raise about $1 billion at roughly $47 billion, per Bloomberg, on a run-rate above $900 million, with no full-year figures yet published 8. It has separately received offers between $70 billion and $80 billion and may close a round before the end of the year 4. Per dollar of run-rate, Devin's harness is the expensive asset and the model it runs is the cheap one. Anthropic's opening trade prices the model on November 19; a Cognition term sheet, if it lands this year, prices the grader 4.

Cognition's offers price each dollar of run-rate about five times higher than Anthropic's IPO

  • Estimate
0x20x40x60x80x100xAnthropic IPO, top of range17.3xCognition, $47B round52.2xCognition, $70B offer77.8xCognition, $80B offer88.9x
Data
Value
Anthropic IPO, top of range17.3x
Cognition, $47B round52.2x
Cognition, $70B offer (estimate)77.8x
Cognition, $80B offer (estimate)88.9x
Valuation divided by annualized run-rate, in multiples. Anthropic: $1.4 trillion at the top of the IPO range against the $81 billion annualized run-rate in its filing. Cognition: a ~$47 billion round on a run-rate above $900 million. The $70 billion and $80 billion offers are indicated terms, not transacted prices. Multiples calculated from reported figures.3,4,8

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