MARA sold 13,597 bitcoin for $1.1 billion after FERC cleared its $1.5 billion Long Ridge gas plant buy
FERC's clearance turns December into a double deadline for MARA: close the $1.5 billion Long Ridge gas plant, and sign the AI leases it still lacks. Analysts are split from $11 to $20 on what the unsigned megawatts are worth.
Vincent Jiangthree-minute read
MARA Holdings+3.41% — MARA Holdings, up 3.41 percent today, the bitcoin miner buying power plants, sold 13,597 bitcoin in the weeks after September 30, about 40% of one of the largest corporate stacks, for roughly $1.1 billion 12. The coins went near $81,039 each; $750 million of the proceeds repaid every bitcoin-collateralized term loan and freed 17,477 coins held as collateral. 12
The coins are buying an Ohio gas plant
On November 4 the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission cleared MARA's roughly $1.5 billion purchase of Long Ridge Energy & Power, a 505 MW nameplate gas plant in Hannibal, Ohio, from FTAI Infrastructure 34. The deal lifts MARA's owned generation capacity by more than 300%, the company says, and its November 9 shareholder letter expects the close in the coming weeks 14. On the earnings call, CFO Salman Khan put the roadmap beyond 4 GW of power. 5
Borrowed in coins at $64,000, repaid at $81,039
The funding loop is the point: MARA borrowed $750 million against bitcoin near $64,000 to fund the acquisition, then repaid it with coins sold near $81,039, a round trip the letter values at a $170 million net benefit 1. The selling continues for AI infrastructure, for the puts on its convertible notes (holders can demand $924.1 million back in 2027), and for a $500 million buyback authorized after quarter-end. 18
Mining revenue is shrinking under the pivot
Third-quarter revenue fell 35% to $164.2 million, with $94.8 million of the drop from a 37% lower average bitcoin price 1. The $632.1 million profit is mostly an $885.3 million unrealized gain on coins now being sold; the nine-month figure is a $1.24 billion loss. 1
Revenue has declined year over year for four straight quarters, deepening each time
The mining top line is shrinking faster each quarter
Data
| Revenue | |
|---|---|
| Q4 '23 | $0.16B |
| Q1 '24 | $0.17B |
| Q2 '24 | $0.15B |
| Q3 '24 | $0.13B |
| Q4 '24 | $0.21B |
| Q1 '25 | $0.21B |
| Q2 '25 | $0.24B |
| Q3 '25 | $0.25B |
| Q4 '25 | $0.2B |
| Q1 '26 | $0.18B |
| Q2 '26 | $0.18B |
| Q3 '26 | $0.16B |
One signed contract against a $3 billion promise
The only signed compute contract is a four-year, $79 million take-or-pay GPU deal at Exaion, its majority-owned cloud unit, so the customer pays whether or not it uses the capacity 1. The $3 billion pipeline is, in the letter's words, demand indications, not yet contracted or committed; the 2 GW Matagorda County, Texas site is still a studied load in Batch Zero, the review queue of ERCOT, Texas's grid operator, and no seller payments have been made. 1
Riot signed what MARA has not
Rival bitcoin miner Riot Platforms−1.44% — Riot Platforms, down 1.44 percent today signed what MARA has not: a 15-year, 910 MW lease at Corsicana, Texas worth about $28 billion, with Anthropic$350B — Anthropic, private, latest valuation $350B, the AI lab behind the Claude chatbot, named as tenant in its quarterly filing 67. MARA targets two signings by year-end, though CEO Fred Thiel says timing could move into next year; hosting on about 29% of its capacity starts expiring in the third quarter of 2027, the year those note puts come due. 178
Riot's one signed lease is nine times MARA's whole AI pipeline
MARA's signed compute revenue: $79M of a $3B promise
- Estimate
Data
| Value | |
|---|---|
| Riot Corsicana lease (signed) | $28,000M |
| MARA pipeline (not contracted) (estimate) | $3,000M |
| MARA Exaion contract (signed) | $79M |
Analysts split $11 to $20 on leases MARA has not signed
Compass Point kept its Buy at $20 on November 10, 172% above the $7.34 close and down from $30 a year ago; Rosenblatt and Piper Sandler sit at $11, with consensus at $18 8. A Kearney signing by December 31 is the test Compass Point set 8. Until a lease is signed, the data center business the coins are funding has no tenant. 18
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