Economy

Apollo sells its credit book below book value, and Ares' fee engine grows two days before earnings

Ares Capital agreed today to buy Apollo's MidCap Financial Investment Corporation for about $2.6 billion, a 30.1% premium to the market but below MFIC's reported net asset value. Two days before Ares Management's Q3 report, Apollo is exiting a sub-scale vehicle and Ares is consolidating fee-bearing assets.

Richard TangRichard Tang · 2 min read
Share
Apollo co-president John Zito on stage at Bloomberg Invest 2026
1 / 5Slide 1 of 5
Apollo co-president John Zito at Bloomberg Invest 2026.

Apollo is selling its own listed credit vehicle to a rival at a price below the value Apollo itself reports for that vehicle's assets. That is the tell in today's deal: Ares Capital (ARCC), the largest publicly traded business-development company and the engine of Ares Management's+0.19% — Ares Management, up 0.19 percent today credit fee stream, agreed to acquire MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) for about $2.6 billion in enterprise value 1.

For MFIC holders that is $10.88 a share, a 30.1% premium to Monday's close but under the $12.86 net asset value MFIC estimated for September 30 1. A premium to the market and a discount to NAV at the same time means both boards agree the shares will never trade to book value on their own.

MFIC holders get a premium to market but still leave NAV on the table

$0$5$10$15Monday's closeDeal priceSept 30 NAV estimate$12.86$10.88
Data
MFIC per share
Monday's close$8.36
Deal price$10.88
Sept 30 NAV estimate$12.86
Per-share value of MFIC: Monday's close (derived from the 30.1% premium to $10.88), the agreed deal price, and MFIC's estimated September 30 net asset value. Source: FX News Group [1].1

MFIC holders arbitrage a NAV they will never see in full

They get roughly $1.21 in cash, funded by an Ares Management subsidiary, and the rest in ARCC stock, plus a special dividend of MFIC's undistributed income before closing 1. They also share in half of any ARCC price premium over NAV, capped near book value 1.

It is a rational arbitrage on a NAV that only a consolidator could unlock, and the independent directors called it value-maximizing 1. Apollo's affiliates hold just 5.2% and signed voting agreements; John Zito, Apollo's co-president, framed the sale as part of a year of "supporting stockholder value across our public vehicles" 1. Selling below your own stated NAV is a strange way to spell support, but exiting a sub-scale vehicle into the sector's largest one is defensible portfolio logic.

Thursday's print decides whether the fee pipeline converts

The strategic weight falls on Ares Management (ARES), which reports Q3 on October 29 2. The stock is down about 22% this year and estimates have slid for three months, and the bull case rests on $114 billion of assets not yet paying fees that management says could eventually add roughly $828 million of annual management fees 2.

The MFIC portfolio is immediately fee-bearing the day it closes, expected in the first half of 2027 with Wells Fargo−0.07% — Wells Fargo, down 0.07 percent today providing $750 million of financing 1. Thursday's print decides whether the rest of that pipeline converts too. Watch fee-paying AUM, not the headline beat.

Get Economy by email, free

How AI moves rates, banks, payments and the wider economy. In our daily email, every weekday.

Loading ARES

Reader comments

0 comments

    More in Economy

    All in this topic →

    Economy

    DXC Doubles on a Break-Up That Values One Unit Near the Whole Company

    DXC has doubled from its one-year low on talk it will sell its insurance software unit to Eldridge for $2.4 billion, nearly the whole company's market value, while analysts still price the stock 25% below the tape.

    Economy

    Kalshi traders bet $600,000 on Robinhood's earnings call tonight as the stock slides 17% this month

    Roughly $600,000 is bet on Kalshi over what Vlad Tenev will say tonight, hours after the stock's 17% October slide. Beneath the price, prediction markets have taken over from crypto as Robinhood's faster engine.

    Economy

    Indonesia gives Freeport-McMoRan an eight-month export permit as its Q3 beat leans on price, not volume

    Freeport-McMoRan topped third-quarter estimates with revenue of $7.55 billion even as Indonesian copper sales fell 23 percent, and Jakarta's new export permit keeps the world's second-largest copper mine on an eight-month leash.

    Economy

    Mizuho cuts its Circle target to $43 on AI agent risk while Bernstein and Ark pushed back

    Mizuho became the first bank to price what AI agents do to a stablecoin issuer, cutting Circle to $43 while Bernstein raised its estimates and Ark bought $5.2 million more the same day. Circle's 7-cents-per-dollar margin is the prize.

    Economy

    Kospi jumps 4.53% to 5,717 on retail money as foreigners sold $150 billion in 2026; Samsung reports Oct. 29

    The Kospi's 4.53% jump on Anthropic's IPO filing masks a market where foreign sellers have been replaced by retail money sitting at a loss and a state program the exchange keeps suspending. Samsung's earnings on October 29 decide whether the bid has anything under it.

    Economy

    Strategy bought no bitcoin last week, spent $205 million on its preferred, leaving $242.4 million for coins

    STRC, the preferred stock meant to take over funding Strategy's bitcoin buying, has not been issued since it slipped below its $100 stated amount in May, and the cash pool behind the company's coin purchases is down to $242.4 million. The restart test is par; the other test is MSCI's November 11 index-removal list.

    Get the newsletter

    The day's AI and market news, in your inbox every weekday.