FERC keeps ComEd on the hook for a $20 billion data center backed by $1

FERC has left Commonwealth Edison bound to a transmission contract for a 1.8-GW, $20 billion data center whose developer says a $1 posting met its initial credit requirement. The credit fight now belongs to a federal judge, and Exelon's shareholders are watching from 61 cents above a 52-week low.

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Vincent JiangVincent Jiang · 3 min read
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High-voltage transmission towers and power lines silhouetted against an orange sunset sky
1 / 6Slide 1 of 6
High-voltage transmission lines at sunset. FERC left Commonwealth Edison bound to a transmission security agreement for a 1.8-GW data center in Joliet, Illinois.

A dollar holds 1.8 gigawatts of grid

On Sept. 22 the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission rejected Commonwealth Edison's notice of cancellation of the transmission security agreement behind a 1.8-GW, $20 billion data center PowerHouse Hillwood is developing in Joliet, Illinois 1. The developer contends a $1 posting met the deal's initial credit requirements 1. Commissioner David LaCerte called that "an embarrassing legal fiction," security worth less than a cup of coffee for a project whose real risk lands on the grid 1.

Shareholders hold the buildout

ComEd is Exelon's northern Illinois utility, inside a company with a nearly $42 billion, four-year grid capital plan 2. Exelon closed Sept. 25 at $40.34, 61 cents above its 52-week low, after second-quarter adjusted earnings of $0.43 a share missed consensus by a cent and Argus and Morgan Stanley cut their price targets to $49 and $50 3. Management held full-year guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 3.

FERC punted, so the contract stands

The commission declined primary jurisdiction and left the credit question to the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, where PowerHouse Hillwood has sued 14. Chairman Laura Swett and Commissioner Lindsay See pointed to the show cause orders FERC issued June 18 to six grid operators 15, and Commissioner David Rosner said the risks belong "with the developer, not the public" 1. Operators owe answers by mid-November 14.

A reserved gigawatt runs a quarter billion; Joliet posted a dollar

Customers holding signed transmission security agreements, about 4 GW of load, have posted $1 billion in collateral, CFO Jeanne Jones said July 30 2. On Exelon's own books, that makes a reserved gigawatt cost about $250 million. Joliet posted a dollar 1.

Six projects account for that billion in letters of credit 6, and the queue behind it is thinning: Exelon's "high probability" data center load has fallen from 18 GW to about 11 GW this year, its study pipeline from about 43 GW to about 25 GW 2. The spending keeps outrunning the cash that funds it:

Grid capex has outrun operating cash in seven of the last eight quarters

  • Capex
  • Operating cash flow
$1B$1.5B$2B$2.5BQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26$2.2Bthe one quarter cash led
Data
CapexOperating cash flow
Q3 '24$1.7B$1.69B
Q4 '24$1.94B$1.43B
Q1 '25$1.95B$1.2B
Q2 '25$2.01B$1.51B
Q3 '25$2.14B$2.3B
Q4 '25$2.43B$1.24B
Q1 '26$2.36B$1.72B
Q2 '26$2.2B$1.95B
Quarterly capital expenditure and cash from operations, USD billions, Q3 2024 through Q2 2026, from Exelon's SEC filings via Sharadar.7

PowerHouse Hillwood, a joint venture of PowerHouse Data Centers and Hillwood Corp., told FERC the fight is over when a security deposit was due, not how much, and accuses ComEd of wielding monopoly power "as a bludgeon" 4. FERC ruled only that a judge should decide, not that the dollar covers anything 1.

November's answers show whether the audit took hold

Mid-November brings the grid operators' answers on pro forma cost recovery agreements, where security requirements get written 15. The tell is the next TSA filed in PJM: a gigawatt backed by a quarter billion means the audit took hold, and a gigawatt backed by a dollar means the legal fiction LaCerte named is spreading 1.

How this brief was made

01Gathered & sourced290 channels · 2,394 articles▾

Agents swept 290 channels and ingested 2,394 articles, then de-duplicated and ranked them for signal.

02Verified & cross-validated7 claims · 38 data feeds▾
03Reviewed & edited1 human editor▾

One editor read the draft against the evidence, tuned the framing, and signed off before it shipped.

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