Economy

加密交易收入锐减逾半,Robinhood仍敲定瑞波RLUSD稳定币分销协议

10月27日,Robinhood同意让瑞波的稳定币接入自家三层业务——零售App、机构结算和公司司库;数小时后,该公司披露加密交易收入断崖式下滑。货架的价码未披露,而这桩交易最后才轮到XRP受益。

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Richard TangRichard Tang · 3 min read
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Robinhood Markets联合创始人兼首席执行官弗拉德·特内夫
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Robinhood联合创始人兼首席执行官弗拉德·特内夫。10月27日,就在披露加密交易收入缩水逾半的数小时前,他执掌的公司同意在零售App、机构结算和自有司库三个层面分销瑞波的RLUSD稳定币。

本周,瑞波(Ripple)在美国零售金融业接连买下"货架",而时点本身就说明这些货架为什么有得卖。10月27日,Robinhood−4.09% — Robinhood, down 4.09 percent today同意让瑞波的美元稳定币RLUSD接入公司三层业务:近2900万入金客户使用的零售App、XRP账本(XRP Ledger)上的机构结算,以及Robinhood自身的公司司库12。当晚,该公司发布季报:加密交易收入缩水逾半,周三开盘前股价跌去8.7%23。

一纸银行牌照,让RLUSD变成了企业现金

最先落地的,是铺路的那一步。10月26日(周一),美国银行业监管机构——货币监理署(OCC)最终批准瑞波国家信托银行(Ripple National Trust Bank)设立,这家银行将持有RLUSD的准备金;次日,Robinhood便签下合约4。

再过一天,穆迪+0.54% — 穆迪, up 0.54 percent today授予RLUSD A2评级,并给出最高档短期评级——这是穆迪首次给予稳定币投资级评级,依据是RLUSD的储备由短期美国国债和现金构成,大部分存放于纽约梅隆银行(BNY)+0.68% — 纽约梅隆银行(BNY), up 0.68 percent today56。这张评级正是关键:企业司库不能把现金停放在没有评级的代币里,却可以持有拿到评级的美元。眼下,Robinhood正把流动性管理、支付和公司间净额结算迁往Ripple Treasury1。

Robinhood的收费引擎正转离加密货币

Robinhood的财报解释了它为什么点头。加密交易收入缩水逾半,事件合约、期权、股票业务却全线增长;预测市场的收入如今已超过加密业务,而创纪录的14.2亿美元总营收也没能救住股价23。稳定币通道是下一条收费业务线,而且全天候进账,不必等散户下单才有钱赚:账本结算、通过Ripple Prime覆盖约20种资产的融资,以及今年晚些时候在Bitstamp上线的永续合约1。

Robinhood:预测市场与股票收入双双超过加密货币

$0M$100M$200M$300M$400M期权$399M事件合约$173M股票$121M加密货币$120M
Data
Value
期权$399M
事件合约$173M
股票$121M
加密货币$120M
Robinhood 2026年第三季度按产品划分的交易类营收,单位:百万美元。资料来源:Robinhood 2026年第三季度财报。2

两大阵营,争的是同一项稀缺资产:"货架"

稳定币市场正在分化成两大阵营,而无论在哪一阵营,稀缺的都是分销渠道,不是技术。本周五,Coinbase−1.77% — Coinbase, down 1.77 percent today将把14种不符合欧洲监管规则的稳定币——Tether的代币也在其中——转换为Circle−2.59% — Circle, down 2.59 percent today发行的USDC:这是靠监管赢来的"货架"7。瑞波则干脆直接买断"货架",同一周还加上了纽约梅隆银行的托管和C2FO的贸易融资结算4。瑞波总裁莫妮卡·朗(Monica Long)称,稳定币是"金融基础设施的关键一环"8。但两家公司都未披露交易量、收入或经济条款,这笔交易的价值因此还只是一个说法,而非一个数字69。

这笔交易,最后才轮到XRP

XRP持有人在追高之前,应当先读懂细则。用RLUSD结算并不需要买入等量的XRP,而且这种稳定币本身也只有约38%部署在XRP账本上,其余都在以太坊96。真正的试金石,是看Robinhood的结算启动之后,XRP账本上的RLUSD供应量会不会攀升。

Robinhood加密业务负责人约翰·克尔布拉特(Johann Kerbrat)用一句话概括了这笔交易:"推动稳定币前行的,是实用性"1。他的公司刚刚照此"接好了线",而真正在这里创造价值的,是那些把获评级的数字美元接入日常结算和司库业务的建设者。这一周,这项工作记在了瑞波的账上。

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