Power

Centrus begins commercial HALEU sales as revenue falls 26% and contingent fuel orders reach $5.4 billion

The output runs on rights the Department of Energy granted and can revisit, even as DOE's own purchases shrink. Centrus enters its December 7 investor day with about $2.2 billion of cash, a widening gross loss, and a $5.4 billion order book that is mostly contingent and mostly conventional reactor fuel.

Vincent JiangVincent Jiangthree-minute read
Share
Amir Vexler, chief executive of Centrus Energy, in a dark suit and patterned tie against a grey backdrop
1 / 7Slide 1 of 7
Amir Vexler, chief executive of Centrus Energy, described the third-quarter revenue decline as "a typical quarter-over-quarter shift in contractual mix."

Centrus Energy−2.38% — Centrus Energy, down 2.38 percent today (NYSE: LEU) told investors on November 5 that its 16-centrifuge cascade in Piketon, Ohio, is now enriching high-assay low-enriched uranium, or HALEU, the fuel for coming small reactors, for commercial buyers rather than the Department of Energy 12. The rights to sell that output were granted by DOE, and a longer-term arrangement for the machines is still being negotiated. 12

Customers commit $5.4 billion, contingent on milestones

The order book grew anyway. Contingent pledges to buy low-enriched uranium (LEU), the fuel today's reactors run on, and HALEU rose to $5.4 billion from $3 billion, inside a $7.0 billion backlog running to 2040. $5.1 billion sits under definitive agreements, though Centrus says such pledges tend to hinge on hitting operational milestones. Oklo−4.83% — Oklo, down 4.83 percent today, the advanced-reactor developer, signed its piece on November 12: multi-year HALEU contracts, prepaid in part with Meta's+2.23% — Meta, up 2.23 percent today advance payment for Oklo power, enough fuel for up to five Aurora reactors with deliveries from 2029. 134

The quarter shrank while the government buyer stepped back

The quarter underneath was weak. Revenue fell 26% to $55.5 million, the gross loss widened to $10.6 million from $4.3 million, and the adjusted loss of 46 cents a share missed the 13-cent consensus loss; the headline $31.6 million profit came from a $46.4 million noncash warrant gain. 15 Revenue from DOE's HALEU operating contract fell $10.2 million, the proposed fiscal 2027 DOE budget funds no further cascade work, DOE says it does not currently intend to exercise further options, and about $0.8 billion of backlog hangs on that contract. 1

Customers and shareholders now carry the build: about $2.2 billion of cash, a September raise of roughly $500 million whose warrants could add $2 billion at $227 to $363 a share, against $350 million to $500 million of guided 2026 capital spending. 12

Capital spending passed revenue for the first time in Q3 2026

Capital spending overtook quarterly revenue in Q3 2026

  • Revenue
  • Capital spending
$0M$50M$100M$150M$200MQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26$132MFirst quarter building outspentselling
Data
RevenueCapital spending
Q3 '24$58M$1M
Q4 '24$152M$1M
Q1 '25$73M$2M
Q2 '25$155M$4M
Q3 '25$75M$4M
Q4 '25$146M$10M
Q1 '26$77M$23M
Q2 '26$176M$72M
Q3 '26$56M$132M
Quarterly revenue and capital expenditure, millions of USD, as reported in Centrus SEC filings, Q3 2024 through Q3 2026.7

One centrifuge has shipped; 11,519 have not

Only one new centrifuge exists: it left Oak Ridge, Tennessee on October 29, with 11,519 to go and first new capacity due in 2029. 6 In the September quarter, capital spending of $132 million passed quarterly revenue, the first time in at least nine quarters. 7

Rows of tall gas centrifuge casings filling a long hall at the Piketon, Ohio uranium enrichment plant in 1984
A cascade of gas centrifuges at the Piketon, Ohio enrichment plant in 1984. Centrus now runs a 16-machine commercial cascade at the site, with 11,519 more machines still to be built and installed.U.S. Department of Energy

Capital spending has outrun operating cash flow for four straight quarters

  • Capital spending
  • Operating cash flow
-$0.05B$0B$0.05B$0.1B$0.15BQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26$132M spent, $6M generated
Data
Capital spendingOperating cash flow
Q4 '24$0B$0.06B
Q1 '25$0B$0.04B
Q2 '25$0B$0.05B
Q3 '25$0B$0.01B
Q4 '25$0.01B-$0.05B
Q1 '26$0.02B-$0.04B
Q2 '26$0.07B$0.02B
Q3 '26$0.13B$0.01B
Quarterly capital expenditure and cash from operations, USD billions, as reported in Centrus SEC filings, Q4 2024 through Q3 2026. Capital spending covers the Piketon cascade build, which management has guided to $350 million to $500 million for all of 2026.9

December 7 must price the 11,519-machine wait

Management calls the miss timing. Chief Executive Amir Vexler described "a typical quarter-over-quarter shift in contractual mix"; all critical suppliers are signed, milestones landed two months early, the $116 million Westerman buy of a casing maker closed after the quarter, and most of the LEU backlog serves reactors already running. 128

Washington paid to prove the centrifuge; startup prepayments, some of it Meta's money, now pay for the factory. The December 7 investor day at Piketon prices that handoff: updated capital guidance, a durable DOE arrangement, and how fast 11,519 machines follow the first. 26

Get Power by email, free

How AI's hunger for electricity moves utilities, power plants and the grid. In our daily email, every weekday.

Loading LEU

Reader comments

0 comments

    Power

    Evergy Sees $4 Billion of Generation Behind a Deal Digital Realty Has Not Signed

    A 1.4-gigawatt letter of intent at a former Kansas ammunition plant is the durable news in a weather-inflated quarter. The funding decisions that come first are a Missouri rate order in December and a new capital plan in February; the contract is not expected until the first half of 2027.

    Power

    China's turbine export push aims at GE Vernova's 122-gigawatt queue as Dongfang books 30 in Canada

    Beijing wants an independently controlled gas-turbine supply chain by 2030, and Dongfang Electric booked 30 turbines for Canadian data centers in late October. The five-year queue GE Vernova monetizes, 122 reserved gigawatts inside a $197 billion backlog, sits on the other side of that plan.

    Power

    Michigan AG asks regulators to reopen DTE Energy's 1-gigawatt Google deal, with $44.2 billion riding on it

    Dana Nessel's November 2 petition attacks the protections behind Michigan's October approval of DTE's Google contracts; the utility's $44.2 billion capital plan and roughly $1 billion a year of new equity ride on that gigawatt.

    Power

    Virginia Democrats ask regulators to reject NextEra's $67 billion Dominion takeover

    The comment window closed with commission staff, the governor and five House Democrats against the deal, and Dominion's own 10-K shows the data-center risk priced thinner than the marketing: 28% of sales, a conditional 2027 contract regime, and $463 million of new rider recovery on the table.

    Power

    Siemens orders jump 58% to a record €34.8 billion as AI data centers wait five years for power gear

    Data-center orders doubled in Siemens's record quarter, and the backlog behind it rests on customers waiting more than five years for power equipment. Beijing has told its turbine makers to use that shortage to break Western dominance by 2030, which is what investors in Siemens, GE Vernova and Mitsubishi Heavy now have to price.

    Power

    Vistra moved $500 million of Helix funding to 2027, and Samsung's $1 billion sits behind it

    Vistra slid roughly $500 million of Helix funding from its 2026 capital plan to 2027, citing political slowdown; six Samsung affiliates have $1 billion committed to the same KKR platform and are waiting on the projects that money powers.

    Subscribe to TheInference for free