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英伟达免费推出智能体运行时,Modal六天前刚给同类隔离标价157.5亿美元

在柏林举行的英伟达合作伙伴大会GTC上,英伟达发布了免费开源的智能体运行时OpenShell,用于隔离、监控并管控AI智能体,并把Modal最直接的四家竞争对手列为集成合作伙伴。而六天前,Modal刚为这套隔离的付费版本定出157.5亿美元的价格。

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Richard TangRichard Tang · 3 min read
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英伟达创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋在公司主题演讲舞台上,站在巨大的演示屏幕前,一手举着GPU,一手握着翻页笔。
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英伟达创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋在公司主题演讲现场。10月21日,英伟达在GTC柏林大会上发布了OpenShell,这是一套免费开源的运行时,用于隔离、监控并管控AI智能体。

英伟达−4.19% — 英伟达, down 4.19 percent today免费送出了Modal$87M — Modal, private, latest valuation $87M六天前刚定价157.5亿美元的那个软件层13。10月21日,英伟达在柏林举行的合作伙伴大会GTC上发布OpenShell:一套免费、开源的软件,用于隔离、监控并管控AI智能体13。就在六天前,这家面向AI工作负载出租GPU算力的美国云平台刚宣布以157.5亿美元估值融资7.5亿美元,增长最快的产品是Sandboxes(沙盒),即供AI智能体运行代码的隔离环境2。

这套运行时本身早在9月28日就已打包进英伟达的开放智能体安全平台(Open Agent Safety Platform);10月21日问世的,则是围绕它搭建的全栈参考架构3。

英伟达点名Modal的竞争对手,却跳过了Modal

英伟达的发布公告点名Baseten~$1.4B — Baseten, private, latest valuation ~$1.4B、Deepinfra、Fireworks和Together AI~$3.3B — Together AI, private, latest valuation ~$3.3B,称这四家与Modal一样出租算力的推理服务商正在构建OpenShell参考架构的集成1。新闻稿通篇没有出现Modal的名字1。缺席一事可由合作伙伴名单核实,原因却无从查证。公开记录能够显示的,是Modal在英伟达硬件上构建业务:10月19日,也就是OpenShell发布前两天,该公司公布了Sandboxes在英伟达新款Vera CPU上的基准测试结果4。

一份Form D文件——非上市公司发行股票融资时向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)提交的申报文件——显示,Modal已售出6.019亿美元股权6。该文件登记的发行总额为8亿美元,这意味着本轮融资尚未募满6。

Sandboxes是Modal增长最快的产品

据Modal披露,仅Sandboxes一项每年就带来3亿美元收入2。据公司统计,迄今创建的沙盒已接近30亿个2。Modal称,该产品最高可扩展至100万个并行运行2。上述收入全部落在Modal的年化运行率(annualized run rate,即按近期一段时间的收入推算出的全年营收)之内;公司自称这一数字已超过10亿美元,且未经审计2。据此测算,本轮估值约为这一自报数字的15倍2。

仅Sandboxes一项的收入,已相当于Modal 5月时的整体年化运行率

  • Estimate
$0M$200M$400M$600M$800M$1,000M年化运行率(2026年5月)$300M年化运行率(2026年10月)$1,000M仅Sandboxes(2026年10月)$300M
Data
Value
年化运行率(2026年5月) (estimate)$300M
年化运行率(2026年10月) (estimate)$1,000M
仅Sandboxes(2026年10月) (estimate)$300M
Modal于2026年5月和10月披露的年化运行率,单位为百万美元/年。所有数字均由公司自行披露,未经审计。资料来源:CloudNews。2

顶层运行时免费,底层存储收费

这笔账的重点不在发布本身,而在价值落在哪一层。OpenShell自带的沙盒组件,干的正是Modal Sandboxes在卖的活:隔离不可信的智能体代码13。但它不做编排。Modal重构的调度器、文件系统,以及聚合20多家云的算力池,仍归Modal所有2。

一旦OpenShell成为智能体运行时的默认选择,隔离就有被GPU厂商免费派发、彻底商品化的风险;届时溢价只能来自Modal的调度层,或者再往下移一层。VAST Data~$9.1B — VAST Data, private, latest valuation ~$9.1B是一家企业存储公司,它与英伟达共同推出了智能体沙盒基础栈(Agent Sandbox Foundation Stack),卖的正是下面那一层:面向沙盒工作区的零拷贝克隆、持久化的智能体记忆和审计记录5。企业免费拿到了治理;收租的,是存储“房东”。

如今的溢价,取决于OpenShell没做的事

能定局的,是两件可查证的事。一是Modal是否会出现在OpenShell后续的合作伙伴名单上——它的四家竞争对手已经先行上榜1。二是企业采用OpenShell的速度。英伟达称该架构现已可用,但其硬件强制执行框架Sentry列明要到明年初才推出13。这轮融资的溢价,定价依据是公司自报的收入数字,而非经审计的账目。如今,顶层是免费的运行时,底层是付费的存储,夹在中间的那一层,必须自己挣饭吃。

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