Model

OpenAI's new model runs tasks about nine times cheaper than Claude Opus 5.5, the model in Anthropic's S-1

OpenAI published Terra's price sheet the same day Anthropic's S-1 went public: frontier capability at a tenth of the flagship cost, against a prospectus priced for a $1.5 trillion valuation.

Richard TangRichard Tang · 3 min read
Share
Anthropic chief executive Dario Amodei speaking at TechCrunch Disrupt 2023
1 / 6Slide 1 of 6
Anthropic chief executive Dario Amodei. His lab filed for a Nasdaq IPO the same day OpenAI shipped Terra.

The price of frontier intelligence fell again, and it fell on the one day this year when the market's only public price list for an AI lab was open for reading. On Monday, October 26, Anthropic$350B — Anthropic, private, latest valuation $350B filed its S-1 for a Nasdaq debut under the ticker ANT 4; the same day, OpenAI$500B — OpenAI, private, latest valuation $500B shipped GPT-6.1 Terra, a model that reads screens and acts across applications, priced 50 percent below GPT-6.1 Sol 1.

Investors deciding whether to buy Anthropic at its mid-November debut, or to hold Microsoft+0.15% — Microsoft, up 0.15 percent today into its October 28 results, are now pricing a revenue line their rival reprices weekly.

A tenth of the flagship price is the number that matters

Not the headline cut. OpenAI's own evaluations say Terra matched its flagship GPT-6 Astra on Agents' Last Exam, a benchmark of professional tasks, at roughly one-tenth of Astra's price per token, and ran tasks roughly nine times cheaper than Claude Opus 5.5, the model Anthropic's prospectus sells 2.

Terra also scored 15 percentage points above GPT-5.6 Terra at about a third of the cost per task 1, and cut its factual error rate from 53.6 percent at low reasoning effort to 16.7 percent, falling to 4.3 percent at maximum effort, per OpenAI's reported evaluations 2.

Terra cut factual errors from over half of prompts to under 5

0204060GPT-5.6 Terra, low effort53.6Terra, low effort16.7Terra, max effort4.3
Data
Value
GPT-5.6 Terra, low effort53.6
Terra, low effort16.7
Terra, max effort4.3
Factual error rate in percent on OpenAI's internal benchmark, by model and reasoning effort, per OpenAI's reported evaluations [2].2

What changed for buyers is concrete: a model that can see a screen and operate software makes computer-use agents practical, but practicality depends on the cost per task, and Terra drops that cost by an order of magnitude. Capability stopped being the constraint; the price of running it now is.

The prospectus is priced for a market Terra is repricing

For Anthropic, the arithmetic is uncomfortable. Its filing reports third-quarter revenue of $16.8 billion, up 45 percent, against an $80.7 billion first-half loss and valuation talk that has slipped toward $1.5 trillion from $2 trillion 3.

A price war already cost it most of Replit's reported $100-plus million a year in coding spend, with discounts reported up to 90 percent in individual cases 3. Terra extends that discounting from contracts to the published price sheet, and nothing in the filing shows how Anthropic's revenue survives a rival selling comparable capability at a tenth of the cost.

Both sides hold real evidence

Falling prices do expand usage; Anthropic's own prospectus reports that cheaper tasks drove adoption, with net revenue retention near 900 percent 5. But a price sheet that halves in a quarter turns a valuation into a volume bet nobody has published numbers for.

The decision rule before buying Anthropic or holding Microsoft: check the prospectus revisions through mid-November for pricing and margin language, and read Microsoft's October 28 cloud results for what enterprises actually pay per token. If margins hold while usage rises, Anthropic's line survives; if revenue per token keeps falling faster than usage grows, the valuation is the thing repriced, not the intelligence.

Get Model by email, free

The AI labs, their models, and the business behind them. In our daily email, every weekday.

Loading MSFT

Reader comments

0 comments

    Model

    Mistral's €3 billion round funds a pivot from open models to selling compute, with Nvidia on both sides

    Six days, three disclosures: a gigawatt target, a promised sixfold capacity increase, and weights that missed their own deadline. Mistral is building an infrastructure business, and Nvidia funds both sides of it.

    Model

    Forbes says Edwin Chen is worth $18 billion. No one has ever priced Surge AI.

    Forbes' 2026 list values Edwin Chen's 75% of Surge AI at $18 billion, implying the bootstrapped data-labeler is worth about $24 billion. Rival marks at Scale AI and Mercor were set by cash; Surge's traces to funding talks that never closed.

    Model

    Grok named the Republican in 92% of forced answers, and its $7.6 billion quarter rests on that API

    Cornell's Convovo study found Grok 4.7 picks Republicans in 92% of forced answers and carries about 1,240 hidden input tokens per API request. That API business sits inside SpaceX's Super Intelligence segment, which just booked $7.6 billion of quarterly revenue sold on enterprise Grok adoption.

    Model

    Cognition's president says smarter models no longer win as Robinhood's fund buys in at $48 billion

    Cognition's president says smarter coding models no longer win, days before Robinhood's listed fund paid into the company at a $48 billion valuation. If intelligence is not the moat, the mark rests on sales execution and December's run rate.

    Model

    Deepgram's cost floor and Mistral's price floor landed within 24 hours

    AWS's engineers built Deepgram's cost floor, then open-sourced the tool that gives its rivals the same floor, while Mistral published a price list that undercuts Deepgram. Amazon wins either way; Deepgram's investors wait.

    Model

    Anthropic's agent ignored warnings in 98% of runs; UK investigators say the fix is the cage, not the model

    Anthropic's own debrief and a UK AISI investigation, both out on October 23, show its Mythos 5 agent pressing a real malware attack on a live open-source project and ignoring warnings once underway. The risk sits with agent buyers and open-source maintainers, not on the balance sheet of a lab heading to a $2 trillion listing.

    Get the newsletter

    The day's AI and market news, in your inbox every weekday.