Core Scientific's 10-Q counts its backlog in megawatts, not $24 billion
Its only filed dollar schedule covers leases already running, undiscounted, and leaves out the uncommenced CoreWeave and AMD blocks behind the $24 billion headline. After CoreWeave's blowout quarter, the open risk is what the backlog is worth, and the new 7.75% notes start charging interest on November 15.
Richard Tangthree-minute read
CoreWeave−8.55% — CoreWeave, down 8.55 percent today, the AI-cloud operator behind every dollar of Core Scientific's−0.70% — Core Scientific, down 0.70 percent today colocation revenue, reported a blowout third quarter, settling the easy risk over the data-center landlord's single tenant. 13 CORZ rose about 11% with the news. 1 The hard risk is arithmetic. The $24 billion of "potential contracted revenue" anchoring the stock story comes from a July 28 release, not the Form 10-Q filed on November 5. 23
The filing measures the backlog in megawatts
The 10-Q tracks signed commitments as Leased Customer Power Capacity: power committed under executed contracts, whether or not service has begun. 3 At September 30 that was 1,120 megawatts leased against 485 billing; the gap is capacity still under construction, including roughly 530 megawatts leased to chipmaker AMD−10.90% — AMD, down 10.90 percent today and a neocloud, a smaller AI-cloud operator renting out GPU capacity, with revenue beginning in phases from 2027. 3 AMD's right to reserve a further 1,925 megawatts is, in the filing's words, not a binding lease commitment. 3
1,120 MW leased; only 485 MW are billing
The rest is contracted capacity still to build and deliver
- Billing now (CoreWeave)485 MW43.3%
- Signed, not commenced (AMD, AI-cloud startups)530 MW47.3%Lease revenue starts in phases from 2027
- In construction (CoreWeave)105 MW9.4%
Data
| Part | Leased capacity (MW) | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Billing now (CoreWeave) | 485 MW | 43.3% |
| Signed, not commenced (AMD, AI-cloud startups) | 530 MW | 47.3% |
| In construction (CoreWeave) | 105 MW | 9.4% |
The only dollar schedule leaves out the largest blocks
The 10-Q's one schedule of customer receipts is $7,484,422 thousand (about $7.5 billion) of future operating-lease payments on leases that have commenced, undiscounted as lease accounting rules require for that table. 34 Two blocks sit outside it, both named in the same filing: $1.8 billion of CoreWeave payments on leases that have not commenced, and all of the AMD leases. 3 The $24 billion rests on exactly the leases the table excludes 3.
Three dollar figures for one backlog, none interchangeable
Only the run-rate is revenue arriving today
- Estimate
Data
| Value | |
|---|---|
| Potential contracted revenue (28 Jul release) (estimate) | $24B |
| Undiscounted lease receipts (10-Q) | $7.5B |
| Annualized run-rate (485 billable MW) | $0.7B |
CoreWeave's quarter changed the tenant's credit, not the calendar
The market paid for the safer tenant: CoreWeave's revenue backlog reached $132.5 billion. 1 Its chief executive expects about $9 billion of customer prepayments and deposits within three months. 1 Core Scientific carries the build while it finishes: it sold $3.3 billion of 7.75% senior secured notes due 2031 this spring, and total debt has roughly quadrupled since December. 13 None of that moves a commencement date, and the AMD buildings deliver from 2027. 3
Debt quadrupled to $4.3B while quarterly revenue reached $233M
The balance sheet is building the backlog; the revenue it buys arrives later
- Total debt
- Revenue
Data
| Total debt | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 '23 | $0.97B | $0.14B |
| Q1 '24 | $0.66B | $0.18B |
| Q2 '24 | $0.62B | $0.14B |
| Q3 '24 | $0.57B | $0.1B |
| Q4 '24 | $1.07B | $0.1B |
| Q1 '25 | $1.19B | $0.08B |
| Q2 '25 | $1.06B | $0.08B |
| Q3 '25 | $1.06B | $0.08B |
| Q4 '25 | $1.06B | $0.08B |
| Q1 '26 | $2.06B | $0.12B |
| Q2 '26 | $4.3B | $0.16B |
| Q3 '26 | $4.3B | $0.23B |
Only the $700 million is revenue arriving today
Billing 485 megawatts represented more than $700 million of average annualized colocation GAAP revenue in the third-quarter release, and CoreWeave stands behind 84% of nine-month revenue. 53 A signed megawatt pays nothing until the buildings behind it are delivered; a commenced lease pays rent this quarter. Anyone valuing this landlord must pick a population, a term and a discount rate the filing declined to choose.
The clock has a first tick: the notes pay their first interest on November 15, 2026 3. Principal amortization, at an initial 11.5% a year, waits on rent commencement under the related leases, and the AMD leases begin delivering revenue in phases from 2027. 3 That is the window the $700 million run-rate has to grow into 3.
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